web3/claims/is-bubble.md

37 lines
2.4 KiB
Markdown
Raw Blame History

This file contains ambiguous Unicode characters

This file contains Unicode characters that might be confused with other characters. If you think that this is intentional, you can safely ignore this warning. Use the Escape button to reveal them.

# Crypto assets are a bubble
Crypto assets have the characterstic price behaviour that resembles many other [bubbles](../concepts/bubble.md) and [market manias](../concepts/madness-crowds.md) throughout history. Bitcoin has been characterised as a [speculative](../concepts/speculation.md) bubble by eight winners of the Nobel Prize in economics.
* Paul Krugman
* Robert J. Shiller
* Joseph Stiglitz
* Richard Thaler
* James Heckman
* Thomas Sargent
* Angus Deaton
* Oliver Hart
And by central bank officials:
* Alan Greenspan
* Agustín Carstens
* Vítor Constâncio
* Nout Wellink
* Mark Carney
And several notable investors have also described it as a bubble:
* Warren Buffet
* George Soros
## References
1. Chancellor, Edward. 1999. Devil Take the Hindmost: A History of Financial Speculation.
1. Blanchard, Olivier J, and Mark W Watson. 1982. Bubbles, Rational Expectations and Financial Markets. NBER Working Paper, no. w0945.
1. Bernstein, William J. 2021. The Delusions of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups. Grove Press.
1. Demmler, Michael, and Amilcar Orlian Fernández Domínguez. 2021. Bitcoin and the South Sea Company: A Comparative Analysis. Revista Finanzas y Política Económica 13 (1): 197224.
1. Baur, Dirk G., and Thomas Dimpfl. 2021. The Volatility of Bitcoin and Its Role as a Medium of Exchange and a Store of Value. Empirical Economics 61 (5): 266383. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01990-5.
1. Caferra, Rocco, Gabriele Tedeschi, and Andrea Morone. 2021. Bitcoin: Bubble That Bursts or Gold That Glitters? Economics Letters 205: 109942. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109942.
1. Mackay, Charles. 2012. Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. Simon and Schuster.
1. Nabilou, Hossein, and André Prüm. 2019. Ignorance, Debt, and Cryptocurrencies: The Old and the New in the Law and Economics of Concurrent Currencies. Journal of Financial Regulation 5 (1): 2963. https://doi.org/10.1093/jfr/fjz002.
1. Smales, L. A. 2022. Investor Attention in Cryptocurrency Markets. International Review of Financial Analysis 79: 101972. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101972.
1. Kolchinski, Alex. 2022. Crypto Is an Unproductive Bubble. Alex Kolchinski (blog). 18 March 2022. https://alexkolchinski.com/2022/03/18/crypto-is-an-unproductive-bubble/.
1. Krugman, Paul. 2021. The Brutal Truth About Bitcoin. The New York Times 21.