Update funding campaign demo.ipynb
changed numbers and updated metrics with feedback from berndt. meant to support decisions on numbers
This commit is contained in:
Zargham
parent
1014ebcc84
commit
6da7870d8f
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@ -2,7 +2,7 @@
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"cells": [
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 8,
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"execution_count": 18,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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@ -13,7 +13,7 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 9,
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"execution_count": 19,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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@ -23,37 +23,37 @@
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"campaigns = {1:{'name': 'ABC field test',\n",
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" 'multiplier': 2.5,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 984.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 1500.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 1260.0, \n",
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" 'cutoff_date': init_date+timedelta(days=365*2/12.0),\n",
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" 'expected_time': timedelta(days=365*8/12.0)},\n",
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" 2:{'name': 'Giveth field test',\n",
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" 'multiplier': 2.0,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 726.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 1500.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 940.0, \n",
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" 'cutoff_date': init_date+timedelta(days=365*4/12),\n",
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" 'expected_time': timedelta(days=365*6/12.0)},\n",
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" 3:{'name': 'CV field test',\n",
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" 'multiplier': 1.5,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 1140.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 2000.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 1460.0, \n",
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" 'cutoff_date': init_date+timedelta(days=365*6/12),\n",
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" 'expected_time': timedelta(days=365*12/12)},\n",
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" 4:{'name': 'Analytics',\n",
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" 'multiplier': 1.25,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 780.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 1500.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 975.0, \n",
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" 'cutoff_date': init_date+timedelta(days=365*4/12.0),\n",
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" 'expected_time': timedelta(days=365*16/12.0)},\n",
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" 5:{'name': 'Mobile first',\n",
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" 'multiplier': 1.125,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 1610.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 2500.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 2010.0, \n",
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" 'cutoff_date': init_date+timedelta(days=365*8/12.0),\n",
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" 'expected_time': timedelta(days=365*24/12.0)},\n",
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" 6:{'name': 'Easy Deploy',\n",
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" 'multiplier': 1.0,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 1500.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 3000.0, \n",
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" 'max_raise': 1875.0, \n",
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" 'cutoff_date': init_date+timedelta(days=365*6/12.0),\n",
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" 'expected_time': timedelta(days=365*30/12.0)},\n",
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" \n",
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@ -62,19 +62,41 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 23,
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"execution_count": 20,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"data": {
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"text/plain": [
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"1875.0"
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 20,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"1500*1.25"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 28,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"total_min = sum([campaigns[i]['min_raise'] for i in campaigns.keys()])\n",
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"total_max = sum([campaigns[i]['max_raise'] for i in campaigns.keys()])\n",
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"\n",
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"total_first3_at_max = sum([campaigns[i]['max_raise'] for i in campaigns.keys()if i<4] )"
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"total_first3_at_max = sum([campaigns[i]['max_raise'] for i in campaigns.keys()if i<4] )\n",
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"total_first3_at_min = sum([campaigns[i]['min_raise'] for i in campaigns.keys()if i<4] )\n",
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"total_first4_at_min = sum([campaigns[i]['min_raise'] for i in campaigns.keys()if i<5] )"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 19,
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"execution_count": 22,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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@ -91,14 +113,14 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 20,
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"execution_count": 23,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"largest outcome: 12000.0\n"
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"largest outcome: 8520.0\n"
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]
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}
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],
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@ -115,7 +137,7 @@
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"outcome at first 3 full amount: 5000.0\n"
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"outcome at first 3 full amount: 3660.0\n"
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]
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}
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],
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@ -123,6 +145,23 @@
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"print(\"outcome at first 3 full amount: \"+str(total_first3_at_max))"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 29,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"buffer for first 3 given first 3 full amount: 1.2842105263157895\n"
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]
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"print(\"buffer for first 3 given first 3 full amount: \"+str(total_first3_at_max/total_first3_at_min))"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 25,
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@ -132,7 +171,7 @@
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"share of total budget covered by capping first 3: 0.7418397626112759\n"
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"share of total budget covered by capping first 3: 0.543026706231454\n"
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]
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}
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],
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@ -142,43 +181,120 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 10,
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"execution_count": 26,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"share of 4 iteration budget covered by capping first 3: 1.0082644628099173\n"
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]
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"print(\"share of 4 iteration budget covered by capping first 3: \"+str(total_first3_at_max/total_first4_at_min))"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 30,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"multi_mins = [campaigns[i]['multiplier']*campaigns[i]['min_raise'] for i in campaigns.keys()]\n",
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"multi_maxs = [campaigns[i]['multiplier']*campaigns[i]['max_raise'] for i in campaigns.keys()]"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 36,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"data": {
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"text/plain": [
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"{1: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2019, 9, 24, 7, 14, 2, 789927),\n",
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"[2460.0, 1452.0, 1710.0, 975.0, 1811.25, 1500.0]"
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 36,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"multi_mins"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 38,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"hatch allocations after first 3 at min:4286.25\n",
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"hatch allocations after first 6 at min:9908.25\n",
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"hatch allocations after first 3 at max:5355.0\n",
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"hatch allocations after first 6 at max:12575.0\n"
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]
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"#hatch allocations after first 3 at min\n",
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"print(\"hatch allocations after first 3 at min:\"+str(sum(multi_mins[3:])) )\n",
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"\n",
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"#hatch allocations after all 6 at min\n",
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"print(\"hatch allocations after first 6 at min:\"+str(sum(multi_mins)) )\n",
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"\n",
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"#hatch allocations after first 3 at max\n",
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"print(\"hatch allocations after first 3 at max:\"+str(sum(multi_maxs[3:])) )\n",
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"\n",
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"#hatch allocations after all 6 at max\n",
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"print(\"hatch allocations after first 6 at max:\"+str(sum(multi_maxs)) )"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 8,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"data": {
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"text/plain": [
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"{1: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2019, 9, 24, 7, 21, 10, 221483),\n",
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" 'expected_time': datetime.timedelta(243, 28800),\n",
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" 'max_raise': 1500.0,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 984.0,\n",
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" 'multiplier': 2.5,\n",
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" 'name': 'ABC field test'},\n",
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" 2: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2019, 11, 24, 3, 14, 2, 789927),\n",
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" 2: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2019, 11, 24, 3, 21, 10, 221483),\n",
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" 'expected_time': datetime.timedelta(182, 43200),\n",
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" 'max_raise': 1500.0,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 726.0,\n",
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" 'multiplier': 2.0,\n",
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" 'name': 'Giveth field test'},\n",
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" 3: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2020, 1, 23, 23, 14, 2, 789927),\n",
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" 3: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2020, 1, 23, 23, 21, 10, 221483),\n",
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" 'expected_time': datetime.timedelta(365),\n",
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" 'max_raise': 2000.0,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 1140.0,\n",
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" 'multiplier': 1.5,\n",
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" 'name': 'CV field test'},\n",
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" 4: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2019, 11, 24, 3, 14, 2, 789927),\n",
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" 4: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2019, 11, 24, 3, 21, 10, 221483),\n",
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" 'expected_time': datetime.timedelta(486, 57600),\n",
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" 'max_raise': 1500.0,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 780.0,\n",
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" 'multiplier': 1.25,\n",
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" 'name': 'Analytics'},\n",
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" 5: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2020, 3, 24, 19, 14, 2, 789927),\n",
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" 5: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2020, 3, 24, 19, 21, 10, 221483),\n",
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" 'expected_time': datetime.timedelta(730),\n",
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" 'max_raise': 2500.0,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 1610.0,\n",
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" 'multiplier': 1.125,\n",
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" 'name': 'Mobile first'},\n",
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" 6: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2020, 1, 23, 23, 14, 2, 789927),\n",
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" 6: {'cutoff_date': datetime.datetime(2020, 1, 23, 23, 21, 10, 221483),\n",
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" 'expected_time': datetime.timedelta(912, 43200),\n",
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" 'max_raise': 3000.0,\n",
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" 'min_raise': 1500.0,\n",
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@ -186,7 +302,7 @@
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" 'name': 'Easy Deploy'}}"
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 10,
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"execution_count": 8,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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@ -197,7 +313,7 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 4,
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"execution_count": 9,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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@ -208,7 +324,7 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 5,
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"execution_count": 10,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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@ -225,7 +341,7 @@
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" 6: {'raised': 0, 'status': 'not_started'}}}"
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 5,
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"execution_count": 10,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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@ -236,7 +352,7 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 6,
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"execution_count": 11,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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@ -260,20 +376,20 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 7,
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"execution_count": 12,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"ename": "IndentationError",
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"evalue": "expected an indented block (<ipython-input-7-391e9e4fe3a3>, line 12)",
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"evalue": "expected an indented block (<ipython-input-12-88028d8e562f>, line 12)",
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"output_type": "error",
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"traceback": [
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"\u001b[0;36m File \u001b[0;32m\"<ipython-input-7-391e9e4fe3a3>\"\u001b[0;36m, line \u001b[0;32m12\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0;31m elif week > campaigns[ct]['cutoff_date']:\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0m ^\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0;31mIndentationError\u001b[0m\u001b[0;31m:\u001b[0m expected an indented block\n"
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"\u001b[0;36m File \u001b[0;32m\"<ipython-input-12-88028d8e562f>\"\u001b[0;36m, line \u001b[0;32m12\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0;31m elif week > campaigns[ct]['cutoff_date']:\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0m ^\u001b[0m\n\u001b[0;31mIndentationError\u001b[0m\u001b[0;31m:\u001b[0m expected an indented block\n"
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]
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}
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],
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"source": [
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" \n",
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"#to be written to match the logic in the image above \n",
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"def tranche_iter_logic(week, state):\n",
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" \n",
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" ct = state['active_tranche']\n",
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@ -309,6 +425,7 @@
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"# generate a simulation so what happens!\n",
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"states = [state]\n",
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"for t in range(T):\n",
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" new_raise = gen_raise()\n",
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