Commit Graph

4 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Jeff Emmett d9d73284cb Add analysis snapshots and updated notebooks
Updated conviction voting, treasury, mechanism postmortem, and ABC
notebooks with visualization outputs. Added snapshot PNGs and GIFs
for all analysis sections.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-09 15:51:23 -04:00
Jeff Emmett 0698ced6fe Add ABC & market analysis notebook, all Dune data downloaded
All 18 Dune queries now downloaded (98K+ total rows):
- ABC trades: 2,615 detailed + 32K raw (price, reserve, supply per txn)
- DEX trades: 26,107 (Honeyswap + Velodrome), with buys/sells split
- ABC tributes: monthly buy/sell tribute distribution
- Holders: 723 ranked with concentration curve, daily holder changes
- Trade summaries: monthly action breakdowns

Notebook 05 analyzes:
- ABC price history and reserve ratio evolution
- Buy/sell asymmetry (5.6:1 sell:buy ratio)
- Tribute revenue (insufficient to sustain common pool)
- ABC vs DEX price divergence and spread
- Token holder concentration (top holder: gideonro.eth at 13.2%)
- DEX volume and liquidity across Honeyswap/Velodrome

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-03 13:19:29 -07:00
Jeff Emmett 0dc3c41111 Add analysis notebooks: CV, treasury, and mechanism post-mortem
Notebook 02 (Conviction Voting):
- Funding distribution, beneficiary concentration
- Voter participation (Gini=0.843, top 10=65% of stake)
- Proposal lifecycle and conviction dynamics
- Governance throughput timeline

Notebook 03 (Treasury & Pools):
- Common pool and reserve pool balance tracking
- Monthly inflow/outflow analysis
- Post-migration USD valuations
- Reserve ratio and pool composition

Notebook 04 (Mechanism Post-Mortem):
- ABC → Common Pool → CV feedback loop sustainability
- Death spiral hypothesis (market/treasury/governance correlation)
- CV parameter stress test (spending limit, request sizes)
- Mechanism design scorecard

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-03 13:13:58 -07:00
Jeff Emmett 6496f46430 Add data sources reference and on-chain data collection notebook
- Contract addresses identified: TEC token, ABC, reserve pool, common pool
- Dune dashboards cataloged (tec/tec, tec/tec-gno, tecommons/TECommons)
- Forum sources linked (shutdown proposal, sunsetting framework, Q1 report)
- Notebook 01 fetches ABC buy/sell events and TEC transfers via RPC
- Treasury state at shutdown documented (~$300K total)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-03 12:29:22 -07:00